The IUSB Vision Weblog

The way to crush the middle class is to grind them between the millstones of taxation and inflation. – Vladimir Lenin

Archive for December 27th, 2010

Indianapolis Diner Owner Shoots Burglar

Posted by iusbvision on December 27, 2010

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Rep. Joseph DioGaurdia tells how Congress hides problems by taking them off the books.

Posted by iusbvision on December 27, 2010

Here is his book Unaccountable Congress – LINK

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Brigitte Gabriel: Demography and Jihad in Lebanon

Posted by iusbvision on December 27, 2010

Posted in Campus Freedom, Indoctrination & Censorship, Chuck Norton, Culture War | 1 Comment »

Mayor of London praises Piers Corbyn: The man who repeatedly beats the Met Office at its own game – UPDATED!

Posted by iusbvision on December 27, 2010

Some of you may know Piers Corbyn form the film “The Great Global Warming Swindle”. He is the bane of global warming alarmists. They call him names, send him threats, and don’t want his work to appear in academic publications. He also predicts the weather correctly about 85% of the time according to the Mayor of London. And London’s city government isn’t the only organization that is listening to Corbyn rather than the official climate orthodoxy who has been wrong year after year.

This post is a great compliment to THIS ONE.

UK Telegraph:

Do you remember? They [The British Met Office and the Global Warming Orthodoxy] said it would be mild and damp, and between one degree and one and a half degrees warmer than average. Well, I am now 46 and that means I have seen more winters than most people on this planet, and I can tell you that this one is a corker.

Never mind the record low attained in Northern Ireland this weekend. I can’t remember a time when so much snow has lain so thickly on the ground, and we haven’t even reached Christmas. And this is the third tough winter in a row. Is it really true that no one saw this coming?

Actually, they did. Allow me to introduce readers to Piers Corbyn, meteorologist and brother of my old chum, bearded leftie MP Jeremy. Piers Corbyn works in an undistinguished office in Borough High Street. He has no telescope or supercomputer. Armed only with a laptop, huge quantities of publicly available data and a first-class degree in astrophysics, he gets it right again and again.

Back in November, when the Met Office was still doing its “mild winter” schtick, Corbyn said it would be the coldest for 100 years. Indeed, it was back in May that he first predicted a snowy December, and he put his own money on a white Christmas about a month before the Met Office made any such forecast. He said that the Met Office would be wrong about last year’s mythical “barbecue summer”, and he was vindicated. He was closer to the truth about last winter, too.

He seems to get it right about 85 per cent of the time and serious business people – notably in farming – are starting to invest in his forecasts. In the eyes of many punters, he puts the taxpayer-funded Met Office to shame. How on earth does he do it? He studies the Sun.

He looks at the flow of particles from the Sun, and how they interact with the upper atmosphere, especially air currents such as the jet stream, and he looks at how the Moon and other factors influence those streaming particles.

He takes a snapshot of what the Sun is doing at any given moment, and then he looks back at the record to see when it last did something similar. Then he checks what the weather was like on Earth at the time – and he makes a prophecy.

I have not a clue whether his methods are sound or not. But when so many of his forecasts seem to come true, and when he seems to be so consistently ahead of the Met Office, I feel I want to know more. Piers Corbyn believes that the last three winters could be the harbinger of a mini ice age that could be upon us by 2035, and that it could start to be colder than at any time in the last 200 years.

Here is Dr. Corbyn from last year debating a hoaxer –

A few thoughts on what Dr. Corbyn says; the first is that he predicted the storms hitting England 100 days prior. Again this is not unusual for Dr. Corbyn whose weather predictions year after year are consistently the most accurate and the only people who deny that are those who hope that you won’t look up the record. Corbyn, like so many other scientists and others such as Lord Monckton who have become experts on the issue, have challenged Al Gore and much of the rest of the global warming alarmist crowd to real debates. There are very few of these because the alarmists don’t want to debate. The only debate I am aware of that was of any notoriety was a when Lord Monckton debated an alarmist in front of a crowd of college students with the students acting as a jury. Monckton won the vote.

 

UPDATE – Here is Dr. Corbyn gloating about his accuracy on Fox News-

Dr. Corbyn wins American Thinker’s Best Climate Predictor Award – LINK

One can make money betting on weather predictions – guess who has been making money winning? – LINK

http://twitter.com/piers_corbyn

http://www.weatheraction.com/

 

Why Weatheraction got the last three Summer and Winter predictions correct and the Met Office got it wrong
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09h48RJiQM0 Sky News August 2009

 

See audits and graphs of the accuracy events of Weather Action forecasts – LINK

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Global Warming Alarmists One Year Ago, “2010 to be record hot year”: Now record cold across much of globe…again.

Posted by iusbvision on December 27, 2010

Here we go again. Yet another in a long list of claims by global warming alarmists bites the dust.

The hurricane seasons did not continue to get worse, the Himalayan ice didn’t melt away, Arctic Sea Ice is rebounding fast, Antarctic sea ice in the upswing, … this list goes on and on. One of the other recent claims from the AGW alarmist crowd is that 2010 would be the warmest year on record. Well it hasn’t worked out that way. I found it amusing when the alarmist hoaxers went into a neo-orgasmic tizzy over a record hot day in Pakistan with some flooding. So if they can go crazy over a single hot day, and since turn about is fair play, can we have fun with record cold MONTHS and shove it in their face? Of course we can.

Of course we know the excuses up front, they will say one of two things, that this cold is due to weather and not climate, but that excuse seems to go bye bye when they go spastic reporting a single hot day. Or my favorite, it is colder because of global warming. Of course if it was warmer in spite of conditions that should make it colder all of the sudden their rhetoric would be “see its cause of global warming”. In fact our friends over at EUreferendum skewer global warming alarmist George Monbiot for predicting warmer and warmer winters and then when the nastiest cold one hits Monbiot says “see this is what I told you all along” – except that isn’t what he/they said at all. Monbiot, like other global warming hoaxers, is hoping that no one will go back and check.

Atlanta had its first White Christmas since 1882

 

Charleston Post – Cold Water Endangers Sea Creatures

Thousands of dead starfish that littered a beach near Charleston last weekend are the first signs of what might become a disastrous winter for coastal sea life. They died because water was chilled to a lethal temperature by frigid weather earlier this month.

 

Anthony Watts: Hundreds of new cold and snow records set in the USA

New 2 day record December snowfall amount to the Minneapolis/St Paul area

While there have been a few high temperature records in the desert southwest and western Oregon, the majority of weather records in the USA this week have been for cold, snowfall, or rainfall. The biggest number of records have to do with the lowest maximum temperature.

Here’s a summary of the weather records:

Record Events for Mon Dec 6, 2010 through Sun Dec 12, 2010
Total Records: 2002
Rainfall: 319
Snowfall: 320
High Temperatures: 71
Low Temperatures: 426
Lowest Max Temperatures: 767
Highest Min Temperatures: 99

 

NewsNet5:  Scientists: Winter could be the coldest Europe has seen in the last 1,000 years [Question of the day – Did the computer models used by the IPCC and alarmists predict this ? – Umm guess :) – Editor]

CLEVELAND – If you are planning a trip to Europe this winter, better pack the winter woolies. Several scientists there say this winter could be the coldest Europe has seen in the last 1,000 years.

Why this dire prediction? Polish scientists say the coming cold is connected to the speed of the Gulf Stream. That’s the warm current of water that travels from the Tropical Atlantic up along the US East Coast and over to Europe. the Gulf Stream effectively brings warmer temperatures to Europe, especially during the cold season. Figure 1 photo shows an active Gulf stream back in 2009. Note the active streams of warmer water (reds and yellow streaks) moving northeast thru the Atlantic Ocean. Figure 2 shows the active warm water streams as of September 1st, 2010. they are substantially weaker!

The Gulf Stream has really slowed down in the past two years. Its now moving at just half the speed it was just a couple of years ago. The scientists believe that this means the stream will not be able to add that extra heat to the European Countryside and compensate for the cold, Arctic winds. These scientists also believe, when the Gulf Stream stops completely, a new Ice Age will begin in Europe…

 

Norway – Coldest November in 222 years! – LINK

 

Anthony Watts – NCDC gets record snowfall in their own back yard! [Way to rub it in Anthony :) – Editor]

 

Germany – Coldest December in 100 years – LINK.

 

Anthony Watts being the rather clever chap that he is – gave us a nice post comparing statements from the British Met and the Global Warming Policy Foundation and compared them to the results:

By Dr. Benny Peiser of the Global Warming Policy Foundation Met Office 2008 Forecast: Trend of Mild Winters Continues

Met Office, 25 September 2008: The Met Office forecast for the coming winter suggests it is, once again, likely to be milder than average. It is also likely that the coming winter will be drier than last year.

Reality Check: Winter of 2008/09 Coldest Winter For A Decade

Met Office, March 2009: Mean temperatures over the UK were 1.1 °C below the 1971-2000 average during December, 0.5 °C below average during January and 0.2 °C above average during February. The UK mean temperature for the winter was 3.2 °C, which is 0.5 °C below average, making it the coldest winter since 1996/97 (also 3.2 °C).

Met Office 2009 Forecast: Trend To Milder Winters To Continue, Snow And Frost Becoming Less Of A Feature

Met Office, 25 February 2009: Peter Stott, Climate Scientist at the Met Office, said: “Despite the cold winter this year, the trend to milder and wetter winters is expected to continue, with snow and frost becoming less of a feature in the future.

“The famously cold winter of 1962/63 is now expected to occur about once every 1,000 years or more, compared with approximately every 100 to 200 years before 1850.”

Reality Check: Winter Of 2009/10 Coldest Winter For Over 30 Years

Met Office, 1 March 2010: Provisional figures from the Met Office show that the UK winter has been the coldest since 1978/79. The mean UK temperature was 1.5 °C, the lowest since 1978/79 when it was 1.2 °C.

Met Office July 2010: Climate Change Gradually But Steadily Reducing Probability Of Severe Winters In The UK

Ross Clark, Daily Express, 3 December 2010: ONE of the first tasks for the team conducting the Department for Transport’s “urgent review” into the inability of our transport system to cope with snow and ice will be to interview the cocky public figure who assured breakfast TV viewers last month that “I am pretty confident we will be OK” at keeping Britain moving this winter. They were uttered by Transport secretary Philip Hammond himself, who just a fortnight later is already being forced to eat humble pie… If you want a laugh I recommend reading the Resilience Of England’s Transport Systems In Winter, an interim report by the DfT published last July. It is shockingly complacent. Rather than look for solutions to snow-induced gridlock the authors seem intent on avoiding the issue. The Met Office assured them “the effect of climate change is to gradually but steadily reduce the probability of severe winters in the UK”.

Met Office 2010 Forecast: Winter To Be Mild Predicts Met Office

Daily Express, 28 October 2010: IT’S a prediction that means this may be time to dig out the snow chains and thermal underwear. The Met Office, using data generated by a £33million supercomputer, claims Britain can stop worrying about a big freeze this year because we could be in for a milder winter than in past years… The new figures, which show a 60 per cent to 80 per cent chance of warmer-than-average temperatures this winter, were ridiculed last night by independent forecasters. The latest data comes in the form of a December to February temperature map on the Met Office’s website.

Reality Check: December 2010 “Almost Certain” To Be Coldest Since Records Began

The Independent, 18 December 2010: December 2010 is “almost certain” to be the coldest since records began in 1910, according to the Met Office.

Met Office Predicted A Warm Winter. Cheers Guys

John Walsh, The Independent, 19 January 2010: Some climatologists hint that the Office’s problem is political; its computer model of future weather behaviour habitually feeds in government-backed assumptions about climate change that aren’t borne out by the facts. To the Met Office, the weather’s always warmer than it really is, because it’s expecting it to be, because it expects climate change to wreak its stealthy havoc. If it really has had its thumb on the scales for the last decade, I’m afraid it deserves to be shown the door.

A Frozen Britain Turns The Heat Up On The Met Office

Paul Hudson, BBC Weather, 9 January 2010: Which begs other, rather important questions. Could the model, seemingly with an inability to predict colder seasons, have developed a warm bias, after such a long period of milder than average years? Experts I have spoken to tell me that this certainly is possible with such computer models. And if this is the case, what are the implications for the Hadley centre’s predictions for future global temperatures? Could they be affected by such a warm bias? If global temperatures were to fall in years to come would the computer model be capable of forecasting this?

 

Notice in the headline we said “again” – you see this round of record colds comes after the last round of record colds from last January – LINK.

 

By the way, Piers Corbyn of “The Great Global Warming Swindle” fame, has once again accurately predicted what this winter was going to be like. The Mayor of London is giving him praise.

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